Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.035280 0.038071 0.040997 0.044299 0.047926 0.051795 0.056241
2025-04-06 0.030158 0.034005 0.038257 0.043323 0.049219 0.055891 0.064051
2025-04-13 0.027479 0.032032 0.037273 0.043789 0.051726 0.061145 0.073270
2025-04-20 0.025261 0.030238 0.036152 0.043763 0.053386 0.065270 0.081243
2025-04-27 0.023783 0.029124 0.035651 0.044308 0.055621 0.070097 0.090335
2025-05-04 0.022228 0.027749 0.034659 0.044063 0.056711 0.073407 0.097575
2025-05-11 0.020940 0.026596 0.033827 0.043899 0.057807 0.076700 0.104951
2025-05-18 0.019782 0.025518 0.032993 0.043629 0.058672 0.079656 0.112001
2025-05-25 0.018824 0.024632 0.032339 0.043526 0.059711 0.082864 0.119609
2025-06-01 0.017782 0.023566 0.031363 0.042882 0.059890 0.084784 0.125356
2025-06-08 0.016778 0.022493 0.030307 0.042042 0.059696 0.086085 0.130179
2025-06-15 0.015994 0.021681 0.029569 0.041603 0.060044 0.088194 0.136413
2025-06-22 0.015268 0.020924 0.028877 0.041202 0.060436 0.090416 0.143069
2025-06-29 0.014475 0.020032 0.027943 0.040376 0.060103 0.091445 0.147769
2025-07-06 0.014098 0.019726 0.027849 0.040820 0.061794 0.095852 0.158704
2025-07-13 0.013624 0.019252 0.027475 0.040800 0.062717 0.099025 0.167693
2025-07-20 0.013318 0.019011 0.027439 0.041301 0.064515 0.103791 0.180029
2025-07-27 0.012852 0.018507 0.026972 0.041077 0.065067 0.106413 0.188532
2025-08-03 0.012434 0.018057 0.026567 0.040926 0.065727 0.109252 0.197694
2025-08-10 0.012020 0.017595 0.026119 0.040678 0.066190 0.111752 0.206393
2025-08-17 0.011664 0.017211 0.025777 0.040583 0.066912 0.114762 0.216404
2025-08-24 0.011222 0.016671 0.025162 0.039991 0.066698 0.115988 0.222771
2025-08-31 0.010766 0.016094 0.024462 0.039219 0.066107 0.116443 0.227509